Will Ariana Grande's petal hold No. 1 on the Billboard 200 dated 22 August 2026?
61%chance it happens
YES 61%
NO 39%
resolved NO
Chance over time
61%chance of yes
petal just debuted at #1 — her seventh. Second weeks are where pop albums fall off a cliff or become the album of the fall.
Resolves YES if the Billboard 200 chart dated 22 August 2026 lists petal at No. 1.
Source: the Billboard 200.
Settles when Billboard reveals that chart, expected Sunday 16 August. Closes 16 August, 04:00 UTC, before the reveal.
Only the chart dated 22 August counts.
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